Mongolia, World's Most Secure Nation & the Most Stupid
Three reasons why Vladimir Putin visited the barbarian Tribe of Mongolia and the Ruskies are keeping mum on two of them.
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Reason No. 1: Ceremony.
This is the publicized reason, which outside this part of the world nobody knows: September 2024 is the 85th Anniversary. It commemorates the joint forces of the Soviet Red Army and Mongolian defeat of Japan in the battle of the Haraha River, just outside Ulaanbaatar, 1939.
Solving this threat on the southern flank freed the Red Army to deal with Nazis on the eastern front.
The cause of the battle was straightforward: occupying Manchuria (Heilongjiang, see map) since 1931, Japan resolved to cut off Soviet military supplies for guerrillas of the Communist Party of China. Hence, the battle actually began in Hulunbuir 呼伦贝尔, today the entry/exit point for rail freight and passenger between Russia and China.
One thing led to another, the fighting entered Mongolian territory so it was the Red Army that saved Mongolia from Japanese decapitation.
Unlike stupid Yankees and the smart people that we are, Vladimir Putin need say no more about the moral of his visit, Russia is the Mongolian tribe’s security guarantor.
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Reason No. 2: The Project.
Again, like Reason No. 1, look at the map. After five years of construction, Power of Siberia, Siberia 1 in short, has been operational and online since 2019. Siberia 2 was scheduled for construction upon signature confirmation between China and Russia this year — and now it is September, and the deal is stuck.
The problem: Mongolian Bananas. And behind these Anglophile wannabes is USA.
In the past 18 months, Americans and its lackeys, including even their Pinoy bed-and-kitchen maids, have been trooping into Ulaanbaatar, bringing with them Pacific coconuts and brown-skin girls to do household and bedroom chores. The inevitable result was, the Mongolians balked and went back on its word.
This was a tight slap in the face for Putin because he had persuaded China to relent against letting Mongolia in on Siberia 2.
We Chinese meanwhile waited for Putin to sort out the mess because Siberia 2 was not only meant to make up for the loss of natural gas revenues to Europe, Germany in particular since 2022. Money from it was also suppose to help develop its Far East oblasts centered on Vladivostok. To China, Siberia 2 wasn’t all that urgent: its oil and gas imports are well diversified and an increasingly share of energy mix has over the years come from solar, wind, hydro and nuclear.
Early this year, Russia notified Kazakhstan it would get transit fees in the event Siberia 2 cut through its territory in order to avoid touching Mongolia. (See map.)
Still, Russia was back to the Siberia 2 drawing board. There is desperation. It stems in part from Mongolia’s “Strategic Economic Plan for 2024-2028” released earlier this year. That omits Siberian 2 in its entirety.
But does this mean the project is dead?
There are three ways to break this sort of barbarian tribal extortion which China has seen and knows well from dealing with the Xiongnu-Hun, circa 100 BCE to 100 CE.
(a) Bribe the Khan and his subsidiary chiefs. (In the old days, China sent them girls, on top of gold, grain, and fabrics.)
(b) Blow up the Khan’s tent-palace, which is the easiest to do and there isn’t a fucking thing anybody can do about it, including the US. (In the old days, Han troops waged a 100-year-long campaign to kill all of them, the effect of which is seen today in Mongolian population, just 3.5 million, while their Xiongnu-Hun cousins don’t exist in name or in memory.
(c) Combine methods (a) and (b).
Putin present in Mongolia, in person, looked to have worked, especially in regard to Reason #1 and Reason #3 (below).
On his last day and at the last meeting Putin secured an oral promise that Mongolia would return to Siberia 2 on three conditions: divert gas for Mongolian use on heavily discounted rates, Russia will pay some if not much of the Mongolian leg of the pipelines, and higher transit fees.
The Chinese can’t wait tell him, don’t be fucking stupid but will wait. Reasoning below.
Mongolia’s oral pledge simply means that China will be subsidizing those barbarians; we’d be paying them on Russia’s behalf. The latter will in turn be compelled to charge at the higher of a two-tier gas pricing: the European v the lower Central Asian rates.
Putin securing that promise does not settle the Siberia 2 matter, as the Chinese know well from history in large part because the Mongolian tribal mentality changes according to shifts in the wind. The promise is just talk.
One, Russia’s gas price with China will have to be renegotiated, so far using European rates. Two, the Americans will again come in and that’s guaranteed after Ukraine falls. Three, in the middle of construction, Mongolia can do damage and then at US instigation invent an excuse.
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Reason No. 3: The Opportunity
Putin’s visit was helpful in one respect because he almost certainly saw an opportunity to yank Mongolia away from that brown-skin Coconut head above.
Everybody knows it: the Mongolia tribe has no future with the US or anybody else outside China and Russia, a geographical position it exploits through a delusional foreign policy it dubs “Third Neighbor”. Look at the map: what third neighbor? A Mongolian plane can’t even take off for anywhere without asking permission from China or Russia.
It is, however, the world’s safest country because Mongolians know China or Russia, despite countless provocations, won’t invade and would instead protect it physically and by mere location.
But here’s the catch: Mongolian barbarians don’t know their place in the world. Bringing in US into its foreign policy changes nothing between Russia and China or their treatment to it.
Push comes to shove, Russia and China might just want to test a nuclear bomb on a desert spot right next door to this tribe, the world’s most stupid, and then they will get it.
This article acknowledgement: 普京访蒙三件事：一个仪式，一个项目，一个机会！ - 红色文化网
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One of the last great Chinese victories against the Mongol horde: Listen to the speech of the Ming empress (from around 01:00). At that battle, no prisoners!
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